How it works

Bolza Tracker analyzes ~900 stocks across 8 indices and gives you two clear answers: whether you should be trading, and which stocks deserve your attention.

Market Quality Score

A composite score from 0 to 100 that answers one question: should I be trading today? It combines 5 macro categories, each with its own weight:

Volatility VIX, term structure, realized vol
25%
Momentum RSI, distance to SMA, ROC
25%
Trend SMA crossovers, slope, structure
20%
Breadth % above SMA200, A/D, new highs/lows
20%
Macro Yield curve, credit spreads, economic data
10%

YES

Score >= 60. Favorable conditions. Trade full size.

CAUTION

Score 40-59. Mixed conditions. A+ setups only, half size.

NO

Score < 40. Adverse conditions. Preserve capital, no new trades.

Valuation Score

Determines if a stock is CHEAP, NEUTRAL, or EXPENSIVE by combining multiple valuation metrics:

  • 52-week discount — How far below the annual high. Adjusted by beta.
  • P/E analysis — Forward P/E vs trailing P/E vs sector average.
  • P/B ratio — Price-to-book relative to historical range.
  • Growth — Revenue and earnings growth rate vs valuation.
CHEAP

Trading below fair value. Potential upside.

NEUTRAL

Fairly valued. No clear edge.

EXPENSIVE

Trading above fair value. Limited upside.

Timing Score

Determines if NOW is a GOOD ENTRY, WAIT, or AVOID moment using technical indicators:

  • RSI (14) — Oversold (<30) = better entry. Overbought (>70) = worse.
  • SMA 200 — Price above = uptrend. Below = caution.
  • MACD — Bullish crossover = momentum in favor.
  • Relative volume — Above average volume confirms moves.
GOOD ENTRY

Technical indicators aligned. Favorable timing.

WAIT

Mixed signals. Better to wait for confirmation.

AVOID

Indicators against. Not a good moment to enter.

Example: Apple (AAPL)

AAPL $178.20
VALUATION
72 CHEAP
TIMING
58 WAIT

Why CHEAP? 20% below 52-week high, Forward P/E contracting vs trailing, P/B below 3-year average.

Why WAIT? RSI at 48 (neutral zone), price above SMA200 (good), but MACD bearish crossover (caution).

Interpretation: Fundamentally attractive, but wait for better technical timing before entering.

Disclaimer

  • Not financial advice. BZ Tracker is an educational and informational tool. Each user is responsible for their own financial decisions.
  • All investing involves risk. Scoring models can be wrong.
  • Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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